Fortnite Treasure Chest Rewards and Chances (All Chest Types)

Read the table by column, not by row: the chance column tells you how often a tier appears, the notes column tells you whether it can repeat, and the source column tells you how much to trust the number. Every rate here is official as of November 8, 2026.

Two mechanics are worth knowing while you hunt. First, players report that breaking a chest with a pickaxe, cannonball or explosive counts like opening it. Second, vaults need a key from a regular chest and hold several Rare Chests — but Epic has not confirmed whether each of those is an eligible treasure roll.

Pirate Chest vs. normal chests: Epic publishes one set of per-chest rates and has never released a per-type breakdown, so there is no documented odds difference to exploit. Pirate chests are simply more visible and more contested — a route that touches twelve normal chests beats a route that fights over one Pirate Chest. The evidence table below separates what guides report from what Epic has actually confirmed.

"Repeatable" is the column most tables leave out. Once you own a weekly item it is removed from your personal pool, so the effective odds on everything else improve as the week goes on — Gizmos are the only repeatable tier.

⚠ Week 2 item names (Solid Gold Lil Uzi Vert, Lil' Uzi Crew, London, So Kawaii, Gold Cadillac Blackwing) come from Epic's week 2 reward list; their individual rates follow the tier rates above.

Not everything that looks like a chest is a confirmed roll at the seven-tier pool. Epic has published one set of per-chest rates but never a list of eligible chest types, so this table separates what guides report from what is officially confirmed — and the repeatable rule explains what happens once you already own a tier.

Epic's own wording is that treasure is "found in chests just like other items", with rates constant since launch except during Treasure Hours — no per-type breakdown. The drop rates page carries the full table and its update log.

The repeatable rule is the other half of what a chest can give you: once you own a weekly item, Epic removes it from your personal pool, so the effective odds on every tier you have not got yet improve as the week goes on. Gizmos are the only repeatable tier and keep dropping all season; the outfit, vehicle, pickaxe or back bling, Jam Track and loading screen each stop dropping the moment you own them. That is why late-week chests feel better even though Epic's base rates do not change.

The reward table above shows the same rule row by row in its Repeatable column.

Every rate on this page is Epic's own, published on the Fortnite Status account on November 8, 2026 after players complained that the odds were hidden. Before that date, our numbers were community estimates and they were wrong — the most notorious example was a rumoured 1 in 700,000 for the Pirate Shop token, which does not appear in any official statement.

"1 in 127" means that across many chests, roughly one in 127 rolls a Gizmo — not that 127 chests guarantee one. The chance of seeing at least one result after N chests is 1 − (1 − 1/X)^N, which is why a 1 in 272 loading screen usually shows up inside a few hundred chests while a 1 in 1,562,500 outfit does not.

Convert any row into time with the odds tracker: enter the reward's denominator and your chests per match, and it returns matches and hours. Because the pools are per chest and not per match, opening more chests per match is the only lever you control.

One caveat worth stating: the odds above are per chest, and a squad shares rewards, so a four-player squad effectively gets four rolls per chest opened by anyone. That does not multiply the drop rate — it multiplies attempts, which is the only honest way to improve your week.